Tuesday, November 15, 2011

"Peak Oil" What does it Really Mean?


Image: flikr / Paul Lowry
 When I first learned about the concept of "Peak Oil", I have to admit, the concept startled me a bit.  I remember hearing that "my grandchildren will never know the experience of flying on an airplane."  The evidence was mounting and many experts agreed that there was little to no more major discoveries hitting the market coupled with the increasing demand across the globe for more and more oil production. 

The biggest challenge in sifting through the data and "expert" opinions is Who do you believe.  After learning many of the angels, I found this article very useful in taking a moderate approach to the concept of Peak Oil.

Robert Rapier explains the 5 misconceptions of Peak Oil in his article from The Business Insider 

Tuesday, November 8, 2011

Solar is Getting Cheaper

          Solar Is Getting Some Hot Attention. (sorry)


A recent article from the NYT reporter Paul Krugman dives into the viability of today's cost of solar power verses the conventional dirty power that we live off of today.  The op-ed article Krugman Op-Ed "Here Comes The Sun"  is also reviewed by Brad Plumer of the Washington Post in "Solar is getting cheaper, but how low can it go?" 

I have seen more and more rooftops outfitted with Solar Panels...hopefully soon it will be a normal thing to see, with a valid ROI.  Until then..."filler up"? 

The success of the future of solar depends upon the decrease in price of the cost of panels, but the manufacturing industry of solar related products better watch out.  China has huge subsidies to create solar industry, (the reasons for that is another topic all together) driving the prices down.  Solyndra is the first major casualty of this reality. 

The other big hurdle is what Brad Plumer refers to "grid parody".  Can the solar infrastructure get built properly and fit in with today's means of power supply?  We will see.

Either way, weather the technology comes from Asia, or the US, the solar industry is going to compete.  Lets hope the US gets a piece of the manufacturing base.

Thursday, April 21, 2011

Fracking Blow Out in PA

Chesapeak Energy is making the news again...not the kind of news they want obviously.  A massive blow out took place yesterday April 20th in PA.  Thousands of gallons of potentially toxic fracing fluids spilled out across fields and into a local river. 

Francis Roupp, a deputy director of the Bradford County emergency services, said "many thousands" of gallons of fracturing liquids were released after a blowout near the well head. Roupp was unsure how much liquid was released, but he said it is possible that hundreds of thousands of gallons could have been released and have spilled across acres of pasture and into a small tributary to a local river. (See the rest of the story here Truth-Out.org )

This is the price of doing business as we search for alternative energy sources.  Nuclear fears arise with problems like we have seen in Japan, Blowout preventors unfortunaltey become a household term with the problems we see with BP and now the Marcellus Shale exploration and drilling. 

There is no easy answer to this in my opinion.



Friday, April 15, 2011

Increased Fuel Prices Pushing Millions Into Poverty (Food Shortages)

Following up on the heals of my last post about Lester Brown's film, The World Bank recently warned that the cost of food is sharply on the rise.  Looking at the increase they say that prices are 36% higher than one year ago.  A big factor in this increase is the cost of fuel. 

44 million people have been pushed over the poverty line with projections of significant increases on the horizon.  The turmoil in the middle east is partially to blame for this rise in oil prices and as Lester Brown mentioned, the water shortages pose an immediate risk.  If you listen to Robert Zoellick, President of the World Bank in this video on BBC he cautions of a "danger zone" if we see natural "weather events".  I suspect he is referring to a few different types of events that could cause disruption in the food supply chain such as; Draughts that may occur causing food shortages, hurricanes that cause further disruption in the fuel pipeline, etc...

We are looking at a perfect storm (pardon the pun).  The combination of increase fuel prices and the threat of weather events is making for a dangerous situation for the global food supplies.  The two are so intertwined, The World Bank President comments on the "Energy Food Price Connection" being much closer than it was 10 years ago.

I'm sure this comes as no surprise to anyone at this point.  Head to your local supermarket and you will see first hand how inflation has gripped our food supply.

Thursday, March 31, 2011

Lester Brown's "Plan B" - Civilization Collapse directly linked to Food Production

Who Will Feed China.
 (Update...see entire movie below)
In a chilling documentary aired on PBS last night (3/30/11), actor Matt Damon (Goodwill Hunting) narrates the introduction to Lester Brown and his recent world tour that outlines Brown's "Plan B".  Brown's tour includes stops across the globe introducing powerful heads of state to the concept and historical thesis that the "failed state" civilization collapse are tied directly to food scarcity. 

The film opens with Brown explaining the domino effect of global warming and the direct impact to the Tibetan Plan "drying out", causing catastrophic disruption to the major rivers in Asia that are the lifeblood to the world's densest populations.  If these rivers are depleted, the impact to food production will be catastrophic and will lead to starvation globally.

Brown dives into population statistics to make his point clear.  The explosion in Asian population and the increase in purchasing power of those people moving up the "food chain" will strain the world's food supply and a tipping point will be reached.  Not only does the population increase strain the supply, but the recent conversion of grain into fuel (ethanol) adds to the pressure. 1/4 of the US grain production is used for our automobiles. 

There are things we can do to stop or reverse the trend towards the tipping point...thus the "Plan B", but Brown's plan is ambitious and here in the US I wonder if people are paying attention?  I recommend a search on YouTube for Lester Brown and is various lectures...the rabbit hole is deep and frightening.  There are sceptics, however Brown's logic is clear.  Here is the trailer for the film.  Pass it on:



Thursday, March 3, 2011

Under the Covers of the WSJ List Top 10 "Clean Tech"

The Wall Street Journal published an article listing the top 10 Clean-Tech companies.  Names like Solyndra, Suniva, eSolar, & Recyclebank top the list.  The list is informative on who is doing what, but let's dig a bit deeper into the "industry" as a whole and look at the reality of some of these organizations.  As one person in the comments section pointed out,  the picture used in the article (see below) "that's the old Tehachapi Gorge site, and those wind turbines were abandoned YEARS ago."  Ooops.

 

So what was the criteria and how were these companies selected?  The WSJ goes on to explain the process:

 "...at the Journal's ECO:nomics Executive Conference in Santa Barbara, Calif., seeks to identify green companies with the greatest potential to succeed in an increasingly competitive sector....based on a strict set of criteria applied to 516 U.S.-based venture-backed businesses in clean technology....Candidates were analyzed on the amount of capital raised in the past three years; the track records of each company's founders, managers and investors; and the percentage change in its valuation in the 12 months ended Nov. 30."

Keeping the word POTENTIAL to succeed is very important here.  As another commenter points out, should we really consider a company like Solyndra, Inc. a success story because Obama gave them $535 MILLION? 

Ok..hold the phone.  Let's now bring this discussion to a more global, comparison.  I would be remiss if I didn't draw a parallel of US Government "intervention" grants into the clean-tech space to the recent Invetment Outlook Newsletter published by PIMCO's Bill Gross .  The Government is making big bets on these "potentially" successful Clean-Tech companies because it needs to show the world that we are trying to find solutions to oil dependency (among many other reasons).  While at the same time the Fed pumps freshly printed dollars into QE2 buying up Tresuries.  What happens when the money runs out in both situations?  Are many of these "clean tech" organizations going to end up like the Tehachapi Gorge site in the photo above without government stimulus?  We should all be very concerned on both fronts.  Libya an the rest of the middle east is on the brink driving oil prices through the roof putting an exclamation point on our dependence on foreign oil and Bill Gross's commentary on QE2 is on the money - who will buy the Treasuries?   


There are certainly Clean-Tech companies out there that have the potential to really have an impact on humanity, the economy, employment, the environment, etc... Here's to hoping that stimulus isn't the only way these companies survive.

Monday, February 28, 2011

ISES 2011 - International Student Energy Summit Promo Vid

The International Student Energy Summit (ISES) is a global forum that focuses on sustainable resource management and the role that students will play in defining the future of energy development. The International Student Energy Summit targets international, multidisciplinary post secondary students in undergraduate and graduate studies interested in energy. The first event occurred in 2009 in Calgary, Canada and created a network of driven individuals looking to make a difference in the energy sector. The next event will occur on June 9th, 2011 in Vancouver, Canada.


ISES 2011 Promo from VoVo Productions on Vimeo.

Gasland Comes Up Empty at the Oscars

In last night's yawn educing Oscar showcase, Josh Fox's documentary "Gasland" came up short.  In the category for best documentary, Josh lost out to "Inside Job", a behind the scenes look into the financial meltdown of 2007-08. 

"Gasland" takes a look into the controversial technique of "fracing" and it's impact on the surrounding communities.  The movie has been highly criticized for it's portrayal of the gas industry and the attempts to garner much public support for the anti-fracing movement.  Reminiscent of the tactics used by noted film maker, Roger Moore, the argument is made that Fox mislead the viewer by omitting many facts.  Energy in Depth , an industry website, called Gasland "heavy on hyperbole, light on facts."

Gasland Trailer: Gasland

Friday, February 25, 2011

Clean Technology Forum

The Clean Technology Resource Center (CTRC) will be hosting its first annual Clean Technology Forum, geared toward users and providers of clean technology. CTRC staff as well as clean tech start-up business owners and experts in the field will discuss topics including: common challenges facing clean tech start ups, how to implement clean technology in a small business, commercialization hurdles, and how to secure financing. The forum will culminate in a networking reception and clean-tech focused business exhibition.

Speakers: Jim Gambino, GPIC/HUB Associate Director
When: Mar 28, 2011, 10:00 am to 06:00 pm Where: Crowne Plaza Hotel, Harrisburg, PA

EVENT WEBSITE

Thursday, February 24, 2011

Top Ten Reasons Why Philadelphia is a Cleantech City

Philadelphia, the City of Brotherly Love, is looking for a makeover – a green one. The goal of Philadelphia is to reduce the city’s vulnerability to rising energy costs. As such, its research, development, and investment into the area of cleantech have made it one of the top cities in the United States when it comes to renewable energy and energy efficiency. The current mayor Michael Nutter, in his 2008 inaugural address, pledged to make this city the number one green city in America, and created the Mayor’s Office of Sustainability in that sense.....see the 10 reasons here: Cleantechies

Better Buildings Initiative


As a follow up to the Penn State speech on innovation, here is a summary of Obama's five point plan of the "Better Buildings Initiative"  (See official Press Release )

  • New tax incentives for building efficiency: The President is calling on Congress to redesign the current tax deduction for commercial building upgrades, transforming the current deduction to a credit that is more generous and that will encourage building owners and real estate investment trusts (REITs) to retrofit their properties. These changes could result in a ten-fold increase in commercial retrofit take up, leveraging job- creating investments.
  • More financing opportunities for commercial retrofits: Access to financing is an important barrier to increased retrofit investment in some market segments. To address these gaps, the Small Business Administration is working to encourage existing lenders to take advantage of recently increased loan size limits to promote new energy efficiency retrofit loans for small businesses. The President’s Budget will also propose a new pilot program through the Department of Energy to guarantee loans for energy efficiency upgrades at hospitals, schools and other commercial buildings.
  • “Race to Green” for state and municipal governments that streamline regulations and attract private investment for retrofit projects: Much of the authority to alter codes, regulations, and performance standards relating to commercial energy efficiency lies in the jurisdiction of states and localities. The President’s Budget will propose new competitive grants to states and/or local governments that streamline standards, encouraging upgrades and attracting private sector investment.
  • The Better Buildings Challenge: The President is challenging CEOs and University Presidents to make their organizations leaders in saving energy, which will save them money and improve productivity. Partners will commit to a series of actions to make their facilities more efficient. They will in turn become eligible for benefits including public recognition, technical assistance, and best-practices sharing through a network of peers.
  • Training the next generation of commercial building technology workers: Using existing authorities, the Administration is currently working to implement a number of reforms, including improving transparency around energy efficiency performance, launching a Building Construction Technology Extension Partnership modeled on the successful Manufacturing Extension Partnership at Commerce, and providing more workforce training in areas such as energy auditing and building operations.

Obama On Innovation

Obama takes his innovation tour to PennState


On February 3rd, President Obama made remarks at Penn State University, paving the way for a new era in "Clean Tech" and innovation in the great state of PA.  Here is the official transcript:


THE WHITE HOUSE

Office of the Press Secretary
_______________________________________________________________________
For Immediate Release                                 February 3, 2011


REMARKS BY THE PRESIDENT
ON INNOVATION

Penn State University
University Park, Pennsylvania


12:35 P.M. EST


     THE PRESIDENT:  Thank you, Nittany Lions!  (Applause.)  Thank you.  Thank you so much.  (Applause.)  Please have a seat. Have a seat. 

     AUDIENCE MEMBER:  We love you!

     THE PRESIDENT:  Oh, I love you back.  Thank you.  It’s great to be here.  (Applause.)  It is good to be back in Happy Valley. (Applause.)  It’s good to be back at Penn State.  I want to say, first of all, thank you to Graham Spanier, your President; --  (applause) -- Elizabeth Goreham, the Mayor of State College.  (Applause.)  Congressman Glenn Thompson is here.

     I met this guy -- I hadn’t heard of him before, but apparently he coaches your football team -- Joe Paterno is in the house.  (Applause.) 

     And one last introduction I want to make.  Some of you know I have these military aides.  They go with me everywhere.  They’re from each branch of our Armed Services.  They’re the ones who carry the football -- you’ve heard of that?  So they’re really important guys.  Well, it just so happens that the military aide with me today is Mr. Sam Price, lieutenant colonel in the Air Force -- happens to be Penn State class of ’95.  (Applause.)  Sam Price right here.  (Applause.)  So we've got some Lions who are taking care of business on Air Force One as well as here on campus.

     Now, last week I visited a small town in Wisconsin that was right next to Green Bay. 

     AUDIENCE:  Ooooh --

     THE PRESIDENT:  So in the spirit of fairness, I've come to Pennslyvania -- (laughter) -- not too far from the center of Steeler Nation -- (applause) -- to wish Steelers’ fans good luck in the Super Bowl, too.  (Applause.) 

     Two years ago I stole one of the team’s owners, Dan Rooney, to be our ambassador to Ireland.  So I've got some love for the Steelers.  I also am aware, though, that this state splits up a little bit, so I suspect there may be a few Eagles fans.  (Applause.)  You're with us Bears fans.  (Laughter.)  Sitting at home, watching.  (Laughter.) 

     But that small town in Wisconsin and the borough of State College have something else in common besides championship football teams.  These are places where the future will be won.  These are the places where the new jobs and the world’s best businesses will take root -- right here in State College; right here in Pennsylvania.

     In the short term, obviously we've got to focus on the devastation that occurred because of this recession over the last two years.  And the best thing we can do to speed up economic growth is to make sure that people and businesses have more money to spend.  And that's exactly what the tax cut that we passed in December is doing.  Because Democrats and Republicans came together, Americans’ paychecks will be a little bit bigger this year.  And businesses will be able to write off their investments, and companies will grow and jobs will be created. That's all good in the short term.

     But the reason I wanted to come here to Penn State is to talk about the long term.  The reason I wanted to talk to young people is to talk about the future and how we're going to win it.

     If we want to make up for the millions of jobs that were lost in this recession, but more importantly, if we want to make sure that America is still a place where you can make it if you try, where you can go as far as hard work and big dreams will take you, then we're going to have to make some serious decisions about our long-term economic health -- at a time when we're facing stiff competition from other nations for jobs and industries of our time. 

And I know every young person here feels that pressure.  You understand that it’s not going to be a cakewalk, this competition for the future, which means all of us are going to have to up our game.  We are going to have to win the future by being smarter and working harder and working together.  If we want those jobs and businesses to thrive in the United States of America, we’re going to have to out-innovate and out-educate and out-build the rest of the world.  That's that we’re going to have to do.  (Applause.)

     That means investing in cutting-edge research and technology.  It means investing in the skills and training of our people.  It means investing in transportation and communication networks that can move goods and information as fast as possible. And to make room for these investments, it means cutting whatever spending we just can’t afford.

     So I’ve proposed that we freeze annual domestic spending for the next five years, which will reduce the deficit by more than $400 billion over the next decade and will bring annual domestic spending to the lowest share of our economy since Eisenhower was President, meaning since way before most of you were born.  (Laughter.)  He said, not me.  (Laughter.)

     Now, just like Americans do every day, government has a responsibility to live within its means.  But we also have a responsibility to invest in those areas that are going to have the biggest impact.  And in this century those areas are education and infrastructure and innovation.  (Applause.)  And that last area, innovation is why I’ve come to Penn State today.

     Innovation is what this country is all about.  Sparking the imagination and creativity of our people, unleashing new discoveries -- that's what America does better than any other country on Earth.  That's what we do.  (Applause.)  And this innovation has always been driven by individual scientists and entrepreneurs.  I was up in Schenectady, New York the other day at the G.E. plant that was Thomas Edison’s original plant.  And anywhere you go in the country you will find inventors and businesses that created products that are now sent all around the world.  But innovation has also flourished because we as a nation have invested in the success of these individual entrepreneurs, these inventors, these scientists. 

     In this country, from the moment you have a new idea, you can explore it in the world’s best labs and universities; you can develop it with a research grant; you can protect it with a patent; you can market it with a loan to start a new business.  You’ve got a chain that takes a great idea all the way through, and that’s something that we as a nation have always invested in. It’s how we as a people have advanced ideas from the earliest stages of research to the point where you can hand it off and let the private sector run with the ball.  It’s how investments and basic research led to things like the computer chip and GPS, and millions of good jobs.

In America, innovation isn’t just how we change
our lives; it’s how we make a living.  And to support American innovation, what my administration is trying to do is not just hand out money.  What we’re doing is we’re issuing a challenge.  Because right now, some of the most promising innovation is happening in the area of clean energy technology -- technology that is creating jobs, reducing our dependence on foreign oil, and -- something that every young person here cares about -- making sure our planet is a healthier place to live that we can pass on to future generations.  (Applause.) 

     So we’re telling scientists and we’re telling engineers all across the country that if they assemble teams of the best minds in their fields, and focus on tackling the biggest obstacles to clean, abundant, and affordable energy, then we’re going to get behind their work.  We as a country will invest in them.  We’ll get them all in one place and we’ll support their research.  And we call these places, energy innovation hubs. 

At CalTech, they’re developing a way to turn sunlight and water into fuel for cars.  You like that.  (Applause.)  At Oakridge National Laboratory in Tennessee, they’re using supercomputers to find ways of getting much more power out of nuclear facilities.  (Applause.) 

And right here, right here at Penn State, a university whose motto is “making life better,” you’ve answered the call.  (Applause.)  So today you’re preparing to lead the way on a hub that will make America home to the most energy-efficient buildings in the world. 

Now, that may not sound too sexy until  -- (laughter) -- energy-efficient buildings.  (Laughter.)  But listen, our homes and our businesses consume 40 percent of the energy we use.  Think about that.  Everybody focuses on cars and gas prices, and that’s understandable.  But our homes and our businesses use 40 percent of the energy.  They contribute to 40 percent of the carbon pollution that we produce and that is contributing to climate change.  It costs us billions of dollars in energy bills. They waste huge amounts of energy.

     So the good news is we can change all that.  Making our buildings more energy-efficient is one of the fastest, easiest and cheapest ways to save money, combat pollution and create jobs right here in the United States of America.  And that's what we’re going to do.  (Applause.)

So that's what this energy innovation hub based in Philadelphia is going to be all about.  You will help make America a world leader in innovative designs for cost-effective, energy-efficient buildings, from lighting to windows, from heating to cooling.  All of it.

     This is where we need you to push the envelope and ask just how efficient can our buildings be.  Can they be self-sufficient, producing just as much energy as they consume?  What new discoveries can we make?  And soon you’ll have a new place to answer these questions, a clean energy campus in the Philadelphia Navy Yard.

     Now, this campus will be the product of a true collaboration.  What, Penn State, you have done is develop an innovative model for how to do research.  Government pulled resources from across different agencies to support your effort, from programs that train new workers and skills to loans for small businesses that will grow


and programs that train new workers and skills to loans for small businesses that will grow from your breakthroughs. 

Private sectors are already pitching in to help.  So IBM is providing supercomputers.  Bayer MaterialScience is providing materials for insulation and facades that save energy.  PPG Industries is providing walls that reflect sunlight and windows that reflect infrared.  Building this campus will support jobs in all of these businesses, and the discoveries made on this campus will lead to even more jobs -- jobs in engineering; jobs in manufacturing; jobs in construction; jobs in installation; jobs in retail. 

     And they’ll be more than jobs that help support families; they’ll be jobs with a national purpose.  Jobs that make our economy smarter, jobs that make our planet safer, jobs that maintain America’s competitive edge in the 21st century.  (Applause.)

     Now, as any scientist will tell you, it’s often a challenge to commercialize research.  You come up with a great idea, but moving that new discovery from theory to practice or from the lab to the marketplace, that's a challenge.  So that's why today, here at Penn State, I’m announcing what we’re calling the Better Buildings Initiative, and it’s a plan to dramatically improve the energy efficiency of America’s businesses over the next decade.  (Applause.)

So by reaching this goal, we could save America’s businesses nearly $40 billion a year in their utility bills.  Think about that -- $40 billion.  That's money that could be spent growing those businesses and hiring new workers.

I’ll just take one extreme example -- the Empire State Building.  Right now its owners are investing in renovations that will reduce their energy consumption, and this investment will soon pay for itself and save them $4.4 million a year in energy costs.  That one building. 

Now, granted, it’s a big building.  (Laughter.)  So most buildings aren’t as big.  They're not going to use as much energy as the Empire State Building.  But what we’re saying to people is if you’re willing to make your buildings more energy-efficient, we’ll provide new tax credits and financing opportunities for you to do so.  (Applause.) 

And this plan would build on the HOMESTAR program we proposed last year, which would have provided rebates of up to $3,000 for homeowners to make their own homes more energy-efficient.  And these are upgrades that could save families hundreds of dollars each year in energy costs. 

See, the problem for both homeowners and businesses is they’ll recover the money that they make by lowering their utility bills, but they may not have the cash upfront.  And if we can provide you -- if we can provide the American people an incentive, you’ll recover that money.  You’ll get it back.  And in the meantime, we’re making our entire economy more efficient. So steps like these also can boost manufacturing and private sector jobs.

So over the last two years we’ve offered similar incentives for cities and companies and clean energy manufacturers that wanted to help America become more energy-efficient.  I'll give you a couple of examples.  In Maryland, our program helped an energy-saving window manufacturer boost business by 55 percent.  In North Carolina, there's a company that makes energy-efficient lighting -- hired hundreds of new workers.  A company that manufacturers LEDs just down the road from here in Altoona saw their business increase by a million bucks. 

     We’re also going to support state and local governments who come up with the best ideas to make energy-efficient buildings the norm.  So you show us the best ideas to change your game on the ground; we’ll show you the money.  (Applause.)  We will show you the money, states and local government.  (Applause.)

     To get the private sector to lead by example I’m also issuing a challenge to CEOs, to labor, to building owners, to hospitals, universities and others to join us. 

     Now, tax credits mean lost revenue for Treasury.  It costs money.  Since we’ve got big deficits, we’ve got to pay for it.  So to pay for it, I’ve asked Congress to eliminate the billions in taxpayer dollars that we currently give to oil companies.  (Applause.)  They are doing just fine on their own.  (Laughter.) So it’s time to stop subsidizing yesterday’s energy; it’s time to invest in tomorrow’s.  It’s time to win the future.  That's what our project is.  (Applause.)

     Now, Penn State is a place that knows a little bit about playing to win.  Last I counted, Coach Paterno has got more than 400 wins under his belt.  (Applause.)  But your nation needs to win, too.  We need you to be as proud of what you do in the lab as you are of what your football team does on the field.  (Applause.)  We need you to seek breakthroughs and new technologies that we can’t even imagine yet.  And especially the young people who are here, we need you to act with a sense of urgency -- to study and work and create as if the fate of the country depends on you -- because it does.  It depends on you.  (Applause.) 

     And if we’re harnessing all the energy in this room, all the young people in this audience, then I’m confident we’ll do it.  We can do this because what this university is going to lead will be more than a pioneering research center or an economic engine for Pennsylvania and America for years to come.  What you’re going to do is lead a modern-day incubator for what sets us apart -- the greatest force that the world has ever known -- and that is the American ideal.  (Applause.) 

     If you remember that and keep breaking new ground, if we as a country keep investing in you, I’m absolutely confident that America will win the future in this century, just like we did in the last.

     Thank you.  God bless you, and God bless the United States of America.

                             END           12:53 P.M. EST